perform-the-durbin-watson-test-at-the-5-significance-level-to-determine

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Exercises

Complete the following exercises:

•”Multiple Regression”: Exercises 17.39,
and 17.42

•”Time-Series Analysis and Forecasting”:
Exercises 20.19 and 20.35

Decision Analysis”: Exercises 22.2 and 22.11

**Submit your answers in a Microsoft Excel workbook, with each problem on a separate worksheet. Label each tab in the workbook with the exercise number.Highlight
the answers in yellow and provide an interpretation
in a text box.**

17.39

Perform the Durbin–Watson test at the 5%
significance level to determine whether positive first-order autocorrelation
exists when d = 1.10, n = 25, and k = 3.

17.42

Test the following hypotheses with α = .05.

Perform the Durbin–Watson test at the 5% significance level to determine.0/msohtmlclip1/01/clip_image001.jpg”>

20.19

Plot the
following time series to determine which of the trend models appears to fit
better.

Period

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Time Series

55

57

53

49

47

39

41

33

28

20

20.35

The following trend
line and seasonal indexes were computed from 4 weeks of daily observations.
Forecast the 7 values for next week.

Perform the Durbin–Watson test at the 5% significance level to determine.0/msohtmlclip1/01/clip_image002.jpg”>

Day

Seasonal
Index

Sunday

1.5

Monday

.4

Tuesday

.5

Wednesday

.6

Thursday

.7

Friday

1.4

Saturday

1.9

22.2

Draw the decision tree for Exercise 22.1.

(Exercise: 22.1) Set up the opportunity loss table from
the following payoff table.

a 1

a 2

s 1

55

26

s 2

43

38

s 3

29

43

s 4

15

51

22.11

The owner of a clothing store must decide how many men’s shirts to order
for the new season. For a particular type of shirt, she must order in
quantities of 100 shirts. If she orders 100 shirts, her cost is $10 per shirt;
if she orders 200 shirts, her cost is $9 per shirt; and if she orders 300 or
more shirts, her cost is $8.50 per shirt. Her selling price for the shirt is
$12, but any shirts that remain unsold at the end of the season are sold at her
famous “half-price, end-of-season sale.” For the sake of simplicity, she is
willing to assume that the demand for this type of shirt will be 100, 150, 200,
or 250 shirts. Of course, she cannot sell more shirts than she stocks. She is
also willing to assume that she will suffer no loss of goodwill among her customers
if she understocks and the customers cannot buy all the shirts they want.
Furthermore, she must place her order today for the entire season; she cannot
wait to see how the demand is running for this type of shirt.

  • a. Construct the payoff table to help the owner
    decide how many shirts to order.
  • b. Set up the opportunity loss table.
  • c. Draw the decision tree.

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